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P-40 WarHawk Portfolio

Tech: AAPL

Commodities: PCU, RIO, NUE

Agriculture: (sold: POT)

Aerospace/Defense: PCP, WGOV

Energy: BTU, CHK

Infrastructure: ABB, FWLT, MDR

Industrials: SPW, SNHY, TEX

Rails: UNP

Discretionary: (none)

Financials: (none)

Staples: MO, PM, HEK

Service: FCN

Mood: Buy the deep black bottomless crevasse fear, sell the…less fear.

**Update: 06/13/07**

Portfolio Summary…

**DISCLAIMER**

Mr. Lin is not a professional money manager and does not have the certification to give financial advice.  This site is intended to discuss stocks and the stock market in a simple, intuitive way but in no way should be considered as official financial or investment advice. Full Disclaimer

Cutest Video Ever!

March 1st, 2008 Archive

Weekend Ponderings - Economy, Inflation, and how usual or unusual is it?

That seems to be the only thing that matters nowadays isn’t it? The economy, recession, and inflation. Earnings and buybacks do less for a company’s stock price than these macro concerns. Having not completely gone through the historical data, I don’t have hard evidence for anything I’m about to propose…just throwing this out for discussion’s sake. So, my main question:

HAS AMERICA BEEN LIVING IN AN ARTIFICIALLY LOW INFLATION ENVIRONMENT??
First, the implications. If we have been living in an artificially low inflation environment, then the Federal Reserve’s “comfortable” target range of below roughly 2% inflation per year might be too low (and wrong) for the environment we’re in today. Read the rest of this entry »