• XHTML Valid
  • CSS Valid
  • XML Feed
  • RSS Comments
  • Wordpress.Org
  • Powered by Technorati
  • Finance Blogs - Blog Top Sites
  • BlogBurst.com

Cutest Video Ever!


View my page on PickensPlan

Visit PickensPlan

TransOcean’s view of Oil’s Fundamentals from Deep Sea

Volatility in the energy prices got you feeling a bit loopy? Yeah me too, but looking through all the daily madness at the underlying industry fundamentals makes me feel much better. See through the smoke screen of the daily price swings and see the reality- where money is actually put to work to change the world, not just an investment vehicle or hedge. TransOcean (RIG) just signed another 5-yr contract for one of its deep sea rigs and the pricing power couldn’t be better. The 5-yr contract signed today is worth $1.19 Billion while 2 comparable contracts signed just 3 months ago (April 7th) were at $928 per ship for 5-yr:

July 8, 2008: “Transocean Inc. (NYSE:RIG) today announced that its deepwater drillship Deepwater Pathfinder, a single-activity rig capable of drilling in water depths up to 10,000 feet, has been awarded a five-year contract by a subsidiary of Eni for drilling operations primarily in the U.S. Gulf of Mexico. The contract is scheduled to commence in March 2010 following completion of the rig’s existing contract commitments.

Estimated contract revenues that could be generated over the five-year contract period are approximately $1.19 billion. Estimated contract revenues represent the maximum amount of revenues that may be earned in the contract period, excluding revenues for cost escalations.

The Deepwater Pathfinder drillship, which entered service in 1998, is one of 39 High-Specification Floaters in the Transocean fleet, 18 of which are Ultra-Deepwater Floaters capable of drilling in water depths of 7,500 feet or greater. ”

April 7, 2008: “Transocean Inc. (NYSE:RIG) today announced that the ultra-deepwater drillship Dhirubhai Deepwater KG2 (formerly Deepwater Pacific 2), which is owned by a joint venture in which the company has 50 percent interest, has been awarded a five-year drilling contract from Reliance Industries. The contract is expected to commence in the first quarter 2010 following shipyard construction, sea trials, mobilization to India and customer acceptance.

Contract revenues which could be generated over the first six months and remaining 54 months of the contract period are estimated to be $90 million and $838 million, respectively.

In addition, Transocean announced that the first ultra-deepwater drillship owned by the joint venture, Dhirubhai Deepwater KG1 (formerly Deepwater Pacific 1), has now had its previously announced four-year contract extended by Reliance to five years. Contract revenues which could be generated over the first six months and remaining 54 months of this contract period are estimated to be $90 million and $838 million, respectively. The drilling contract is still expected to commence in the third quarter of 2009, following shipyard construction, sea trials, mobilization to India and customer acceptance.”

That’s a nice almost 30% increase in rates in exactly 3 months…telling me Petrobras REALLY IS sucking up all the rigs out there, National Oilwell Varco REALLY CAN’T build rigs fast enough, and whoever wants a rig needs to pay up to get them… You don’t just sign 5-yr multi billion dollar contracts based on oil swinging up and down a couple dollars a day. If you do, your oil company is wreckless, and obviously these oil companies aren’t wreckless, otherwise they would be out of business.

If you want to keep tabs on the rigs currently in service around the world, check out this resource by Baker Hughes (BHI) I have featured on SuckingLess.com

**Disclosure: No positions in the stocks mentioned**

One Response to “TransOcean’s view of Oil’s Fundamentals from Deep Sea

  • 1
    Jeffrey McLarty
    July 9th, 2008 17:28

    Hey Jeffrey, nice site, I am impressed…and I hope its a good thing that
    great minds think alike. I concur with your bullish sentiment.

    Obviously you saw the upgrade this AM, for the same logic that you blogged,
    and i thought to myself yesterday.

    Thought I’d just leave something of value for you, morningstar paid content
    seems to find a fair value range on RIG between $132 and $228.

    I’m obviously long RIG.

    FYI:Google finance picked up your post, under RIG…I always get a kick
    out of seeing that happen to my posts.

Leave a Reply

For spam filtering purposes, please copy the number 8996 to the field below: