All my posts for first half of 2007 were lost yesterday when my server gave out on me! Just as well. I’ve been trying to shift the direction of this site to analyze sectors my engineering background would support - namely industrial sectors such as engineering, construction, oil service, machinery, mining and base metals, as well as technology. Oh, check out some of my posts on SeekingAlpha.com.
**P.S. Any proceeds from the ads on this site will go towards charity. I received a check for $103.99 from Google Adsense for 2007, which I’ve donated to March of Dimes. Read about my FlyboysFund 2007 Donation here. **
July 21st, 2008
Badger meter is popping a nice 9% today on strong Q2 earnings. Compared to Q2 of 2007, Q2 2008 sales are up 20.1%, net earnings up 28.8%, and EPS up 26.3%. These results are in the face of what appeared to be a challenging environment for utility and industrial component suppliers. Chicago Bridge & Iron (CBI) confirmed the decrease in utility and local municipal spending (local municipalities have been hit by the credit crisis and the decrease in tax revenues due to rising foreclosures). However, Badger Meter showed us that water utilities are still buying the small infrastructure components such as meters and valves, even as larger projects such as those Chicago Bridge & Iron is involved in are being scrapped. This is another reminder of the big sea change I’ve been concerned with for a while: U.S. infrastructure is deteriorating fast and must be replaced and upgraded. If new big projects such as new utility stations or pipelines have to be canceled, that puts even more pressure on the existing system, requiring advanced technology such as Badger Meter’s AMR (Automatic meter reading) technology to make the existing system more efficient and reliable. Badger Meter also mentioned strength in precision valves and flow sensors due to the continued demand in the petroleum industry.
Also, Badger Meter’s recent acquisition of an automatic metering infrastructure (AMI) system is looking good. Watch for accelerating growth in this product line.
The majority of Badger’s sales are domestic, which is where the weakness concerns have been. International infrastructure should still be strong across the board. So if Badger can find strength in the U.S. domestic market, this is a good omen for both Flowserve (FLS) and SPX Corp (SPW), who are leaders in flow technology.
More on Badger Meter:
Additional Water Utility Resources featured on SuckingLess.com Research Tools
**Disclosure: I own shares of FLS and SPW as of this post**
Posted in Engineering, Gov't & Utilities, Oil & Energy, Research Analysis, Stocks, Technology | No Comments »
July 21st, 2008
The bounce by the financials from the depths of hell last week was definitely a sigh of relief. The “less abysmal” earnings from first Wells Fargo (WFC) [that stagecoach really can run!], JP Morgan (JPM), and US Bancorp (USB) told us the sweeping assumption that all banks are gonners was premature. Well, premature at least for now. Regardless of which side of the argument talking heads take on picking the bottom in financials, most (if not all) would agree that housing needs to bottom if the banks want to be out of the woods. When will housing bottom? Citigroup Chairman Win Bischoff offers his opinion in this Reuters report. Remember, however, Citigroup hasn’t exactly been on the right side of the trade on this whole housing crisis, as made evident by it’s shares dropping from the $50’s to being a teenager.
“LONDON (Reuters) - Citigroup chairman Win Bischoff has warned that house prices in Britain and the United States are likely to keep falling for another two years.
The chairman of one of the world’s most powerful banks told the BBC in an interview that he expects it will take two years for the markets to stabilise.
He also said he expected the credit crunch could continue through until 2009.
Bischoff told the BBC that there would be redundancies at the bank, which employs 12,000 people in Britain, and warned that some of them would be compulsory.
No further details were released of the interview which is due to be broadcast later on Saturday on the BBC News Channel (Reporting by Paul Majendie, Editing by Jon Boyle)”
Full Article: House prices could fall for two years
Suggested SuckingLess.com Research Resource:
Posted in Banks & Finance, Flagged News | No Comments »
July 16th, 2008
ABB finally made the move I’d hope they make! In this A.D.D. market only able to focus on 2 things: financials and oil, great things are happening at individual companies and not even registering on the radar. ABB acquires U.S. transformer company Kuhlman Electric Corporation. This is one of the sweetspots (of the limited investable opportunities) for the power grid upgrade and buildout. I own SPX Corp (SPW) exactly for their transformer business, SPX Corp’s fastest growing business:
“Our Industrial Products and Services segment had revenues of $966.4, $836.7 and $716.0 in 2007, 2006 and 2005, respectively. Of the segment’s 2007 revenue, approximately 44% was from the sale of power transformers into the US transmission and distribution market.” ~SPX Corp’s 2007 10-K
One of my very first blog post dealt with the twin drivers for the power grid infrastructure suppliers: U.S. power grid outdated by some 30 yrs, always using near capacity and a system shock away from massive destructive blackouts. The complementary driver: BRIC (and then some..Mid East especially, no one talks about Saudi Arabia building 4 Dubai like cities….) countries building whole CITIES, of which the power grid is the foundation.
The problem with investing on this theme was Read the rest of this entry »
Posted in Engineering, Gov't & Utilities, Oil & Energy, Research Analysis, Stocks, Technology | No Comments »
July 14th, 2008
PBR and RIO have been Brazil’s stars in this latest Brazil run, dominating positions in the iShares Brazil ETF ticker EWZ. PBR and RIO’s stories are well known, and I actually think RIO looks done for now given the continual weakness in nickel prices. Could financials be the next leg up for Brazil’s markets?
BLOOMBERG: REINSURERS RUSH TO BRAZIL AS PREMIUMS CLIMB 40%
“By Telma Marotto
July 11 (Bloomberg) — Swiss Reinsurance Co. and Munich Re, the world’s two largest reinsurance companies, are leading a rush to Brazil to capitalize on the biggest deregulation of a market since China opened up more than six years ago.
At least 13 companies have been authorized to operate since the government ended its 69-year monopoly in April, said Armando Vergilio dos Santos Junior, head of Brazil’s insurance regulator, who estimates the number will reach 40 by December. He expects reinsurance premiums to rise 40 percent to $3.5 billion this year and then double to $7 billion by 2011.”
Full Article: http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601109&sid=aGQItoNVF_As&refer=home
Posted in Banks & Finance, Flagged News, Gov't & Utilities, Oil & Energy, Stocks | No Comments »